Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 0.004955 0.005622 0.006385 0.007330 0.008481 0.009855 0.011644
2025-12-07 0.003932 0.004733 0.005731 0.007094 0.008954 0.011480 0.015313
2025-12-14 0.003389 0.004240 0.005362 0.007002 0.009433 0.013084 0.019387
2025-12-21 0.003113 0.004022 0.005280 0.007232 0.010354 0.015519 0.025708
2025-12-28 0.002935 0.003900 0.005294 0.007577 0.011504 0.018659 0.034939
2026-01-04 0.002732 0.003709 0.005171 0.007673 0.012241 0.021300 0.044864
2026-01-11 0.002529 0.003493 0.004975 0.007603 0.012651 0.023427 0.055188
2026-01-18 0.002375 0.003334 0.004846 0.007621 0.013225 0.026126 0.069742
2026-01-25 0.002207 0.003136 0.004628 0.007443 0.013351 0.027820 0.082923
2026-02-01 0.002032 0.002913 0.004348 0.007105 0.013063 0.028346 0.092361
2026-02-08 0.001877 0.002710 0.004082 0.006761 0.012694 0.028542 0.100920
2026-02-15 0.001805 0.002638 0.004036 0.006841 0.013324 0.031933 0.132110
2026-02-22 0.001700 0.002509 0.003891 0.006732 0.013550 0.034463 0.167231
2026-03-01 0.001590 0.002366 0.003709 0.006523 0.013493 0.036119 0.203411
2026-03-08 0.001508 0.002264 0.003593 0.006441 0.013752 0.039146 0.268124
2026-03-15 0.001469 0.002235 0.003608 0.006646 0.014864 0.046494 0.449213
2026-03-22 0.001445 0.002228 0.003665 0.006952 0.016391 0.057417 0.922569
2026-03-29 0.001398 0.002176 0.003629 0.007037 0.017267 0.066269 1.795115
2026-04-05 0.001340 0.002101 0.003538 0.006975 0.017647 0.072861 3.356960
2026-04-12 0.001294 0.002045 0.003482 0.006992 0.018314 0.082476 8.913204
2026-04-19 0.001235 0.001962 0.003364 0.006833 0.018303 0.087354 21.291878
2026-04-26 0.001168 0.001860 0.003199 0.006533 0.017684 0.086801 35.611445
2026-05-03 0.001105 0.001762 0.003037 0.006226 0.016983 0.085082 55.548367